Rumi Chunara

The National Science Foundation RAPID grant for this research was obtained by Rumi Chunara and Enrico Bertini, professors in the Department of Computer Science and Engineering. 

COVID-19 is one of the most deadly and fastest transmitting viruses in modern history. In response to this pandemic, news agencies, government organizations, citizen scientists, and many others have released hundreds of visualizations of pandemic forecast data. While providing people with accurate information is essential, it is unclear how the average person understands the widely distributed depictions of pandemic data. Prior research on uncertainty communication shows that even common visualizations can be confusing. One possible source of inappropriate responses to COVID-19 is the lack of knowledge about personal risk and the nature of pandemic uncertainty.

The goal of this research is to test how people understand currently available COVID-19 data visualizations and create communication guidelines based on these findings. Further, the researchers will develop an application to help people understand the factors that contribute to their risk. Users are able to interact with the application to learn about the impact of their actions on their risk. This research provides immediate solutions for teaching people about their personal risk associated with COVID-19 and how their actions influence the risks of others, which could improve the public's response and decrease fatalities. Additionally, this work supports decision making for future pandemics and any subsequent outbreaks of COVID-19 or other viruses.

Specifically, the research team, in an effort to understand how people respond to uncertainty about the nature of the pandemic, is testing the effects of currently available visualizations on personal risk judgments and behavior. By studying how changes in factors influence risk perceptions, the research can contribute to understanding how people conceptualize compound uncertainties from different sources (e.g., uncertainties associated with location, time, demographics and risk behaviors). The researchers are using this information to produce a visualization application that allows people to change the parameters of a simulation to see how the resulting changes affect their risk judgments. For example, users in one city are able to see the pandemic risk to individuals of their age in their zip code and then see how that risk would change if the infection rate increased or decreased.

The aim is to promote intuitive understanding of the epidemiological uncertainty in the forecast through participants? experimentation with the application. While in line with current recommendations for intrinsic uncertainty visualization, this work is the first of its kind to test the effect of user interaction to convey uncertainty through visualization.

This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

Rumi Chunara, an assistant professor in the Department of Computer Science and Engineering at NYU Tandon,  and in the Department of Biostatistics at NYU School of Global Public Health, was corresponding author.

Through the COVID-19 pandemic, telemedicine has become a necessary entry point into the process of diagnosis, triage and treatment. Racial and ethnic disparities in health care have been well documented in COVID-19 with respect to risk of infection and in-hospital outcomes once admitted. The researchers assessed disparities in those who access healthcare via telemedicine for COVID-19.

The researchers used electronic health record data of patients at New York University Langone Health between March 19th and April 30, 2020 to conduct descriptive and multilevel regression analyses with respect to visit type (telemedicine or in-person), suspected COVID diagnosis and COVID test results.

The collaborators included Yuan Zhao of the NYU School of Global Public Health; Ji Chen of the NYU Grossman School of Medicine; Katharine Lawrence, Paul A. Testa and Devin M. Mann of NYU Langone Health; and Oded Nov, professor in the Department of Technology Management and Innovation at NYU Tandon. 

Controlling for individual and community-level attributes, the researchers found that Black patients had 0.6 times the adjusted odds of accessing care through telemedicine compared to white patients, though they are increasingly accessing telemedicine for urgent care, driven by a younger and female population. COVID diagnoses were significantly more likely for Black versus white telemedicine patients (while they were more likely for white patients when considering in-person and telemedicine visits).

While the study reports that Black patients are not accessing care through telemedicine (versus by in-person visits to emergency department and physician’s offices) at the same rate as white patients, it notes increased uptake by young, female Black patients. Mean income and decreased mean household size of patients' home zip code were also significantly related to telemedicine use.

The team reports that telemedicine access disparities reflect those in in-person healthcare access. Roots of disparate use are complex and reflect individual, community, and structural factors, including their intersection; many of which are due to systemic racism. Evidence regarding disparities that manifest through telemedicine can be used to inform tool design and systemic efforts to promote digital health equity.

The research, which was supported by a generous grant from the National Science Foundation,